Commercial Real Estate Trends to Know in 2023

The picture for CRE in 2023 suggests there might be difficulties in the future. The future of office space is uncertain, and retail is at a turning point. The commercial real estate outlook does include a few promising signs, though. The trend for industrial properties is still strong, while multifamily complexes continue to do well.

Commercial Real Estate Trends to Know in 2023 by RES Management

Stay Updated on These Prospects and Trends in Commercial Real Estate for 2023

• Due to rising interest rates and sales in the financial markets, commercial property prices have declined, creating instability and potential price decreases.  
• In Quarter 2 of 2022, investments in commercial real estate rose 10% year over year, spurred by rising rents and a lack of available housing.
• The current standard is shorter leases and smaller spaces, with suburban firms being a reliable target.
• Commercial real estate experts prioritize reducing expenses while increasing earnings.
• Due to tight supply, rising wages, and increased demand, rents have increased; yet profitability is affected by rising interest rates and borrowing costs.
• Capitalization of real estate loan funds has shifted away from banks, encouraging institutional investors to invest.
• ESG criteria have become more important in commercial real estate, leading to better profit margins and more selective tenants.
• Capital recycling is the result of rising borrowing costs and fewer financing options because of rising interest rates.
• Commercial real estate companies are embracing modern technologies: 53% have a roadmap and 32% have restructured internal processes based on technologies and tools.
• Investors can now make faster and more accurate decisions thanks to easier access to standardized data.
• Companies need to take additional measures to protect against ransomware attacks, such as compliance with SOC 2 Type 2 while keeping investors' interests in mind.

Cap Rate Trends in CRE:

The formula for calculating cap rate: NOI(Net Operating Income)/ Market value

• NOI(Net Operating Income) states the income generated by the real estate asset.
• The market value indicates the current market value of the asset.

What Does the Cap Rate Mean in CRE?

For CRE investors, the capitalization rate, often known as the "cap rate," serves as a gauge of risk and potential return. The time it takes an investor to recoup his initial investment is often expressed as a percentage. High capitalization rates indicate that the property is undervalued and could yield large profits, but with increased risk. Cap rates are used to evaluate comparable properties, and investors should consider external indicators such as the internal rate of return to make a more comprehensive assessment. 

To learn more about this, read What is Cap Rate in the World of CRE?

What Role Does the Cap Rate Play in Real Estate Trends?

• Investors use cap rates as a critical benchmark to evaluate other investments in the market and identify trends in risk and return.
• Cap rates for commercial real estate are a great source of information about risk and return as well as market trends.
• Prior to investing, investors may understand better how a property compares to past comparables by comparing cap rates within the same market.
• When investors want to save expenses by changing mortgage contracts, cap rates can demonstrate the property's value through the loan-to-value evaluation.
• Although terminal cap rates serve the same fundamental purpose as conventional cap rates, the methodology is different.
• You can get the exit cap rate by dividing the NOI by the expected sale price rather than utilizing the current market value.
• ROI versus cap rate Financial metrics that help investors make judgments about their investments include the cap rate and return on investment, or ROI.

Looking for further guidance? Res Management is here to assist. We identify the ideal location for each firm using our highly trained real estate agents and our methodical strategy.